Result
1:1
13/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 81% (334/411) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/397) | 81% (334/411) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (24/53) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 50% (51/102) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
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| 70% (7/10) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.93 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
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| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 61% (14/23) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.39 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.61 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Enomoto I. ⚽, Suvannaseat S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Thinjom S. ↓, Jaihan T. ↑,
- 55', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 62', Mita H. 🟨,
- 63', Lalic N. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
- 63', James L. ↓, Nuengprakaew W. ↑,
- 65', Victor Cardozo 🟨,
- 81', Inpaen S. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
- 81', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
- 82', Enomoto I. ↓, Kannoo S. ↑,
- 83', Yaemsaen S. ↓, Ballini M. ↑,
- 89', Dudu ↓, Lee S. ↑,
- 90+2', Suvannaseat S. ↓, Verzura G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
33.8% | Draw
27.7% | Chiangrai United
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Chiangrai United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(2.95) |
3.32 ↑
(3.19) |
2.39 ↑
(2.24) |
8.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Chiangrai United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chiangrai United will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Chiangrai United (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 2.
- Nakhon Ratchasima has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chiangrai United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chiangrai United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of home games.
- Chiangrai United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Chiangrai United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Chiangrai United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Chiangrai United were as follows:
08.11.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:0
29.03.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Chiangrai United
1:4
09.11.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
0:2
18.03.2023
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Chiangrai United
3:1
21.10.2022
Chiangrai United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
