Chiba Lotte Marines vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Result
5:4
12/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
116
Errors
00
Home Runs
20
Runs batted in
53
Base on Balls
25
Strikeouts
38
Stolen bases
20
At bat
3132
Batting Average
0.3550.188

Chances of winning


Chiba Lotte Marines
56.6%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiba Lotte Marines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.84)

    2.18
    (1.98)
    5.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 2.
    • Chiba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hiroshima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 73:53. (average 3.7:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiba won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:29. (average 4.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp were as follows:
    11.06.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2:6
    10.06.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 6:1
    16.03.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chiba Lotte Marines 3:0
    15.03.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chiba Lotte Marines 1:4
    14.03.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chiba Lotte Marines 3:0
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers10061237342:2220.622
    2Yomiuri Giants9948348285:2950.500
    3Yokohama BayStars9845548309:2900.484
    4Hiroshima Carp9842551294:3130.452
    5Chunichi Dragons9843253258:2960.448
    6Yakult Swallows9333555257:3660.375


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks9959436384:2710.621
    2Nippon Ham Fighters9960237380:2560.619
    3Orix Buffaloes9749345335:3580.521
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles9746249275:3230.484
    5Seibu Lions9844252254:2870.458
    6Chiba Lotte Marines9637356286:3820.398

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)