Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chiba Lotte Marines – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
04/06/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!

Match Stats

Hits
411
Errors
00
Home runs
00
Runs batted in
25
Base on balls
52
Strikeouts
911
Stolen bases
01
At bat
2937
Batting average
0.1380.297

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
53.2%
Chiba Lotte Marines
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chiba Lotte Marines Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.83)

    2.04
    (2.07)
    4.8%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chiba Lotte Marines?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • Tokyo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chiba's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:59. (average 3.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 2.8:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chiba Lotte Marines were as follows:
    03.06.2026 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chiba Lotte Marines 1:0
    02.06.2026 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chiba Lotte Marines 0:5
    15.06.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 5:4
    14.06.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 0:5
    13.06.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 5:4
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows5632123187:1850.582
    2Hanshin Tigers5531123212:1810.574
    3Yomiuri Giants5631025180:1870.554
    4Yokohama BayStars5625229202:2210.463
    5Hiroshima Carp5319331149:1710.380
    6Chunichi Dragons5620135184:2080.364


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Seibu Lions5733222218:1720.600
    2Fukuoka S. Hawks5531024236:2000.564
    3Orix Buffaloes5630125197:1900.545
    4Nippon Ham Fighters5829029229:2200.500
    5Chiba Lotte Marines5627029184:2070.482
    6Rakuten Gold. Eagles5621134176:2120.382

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)