Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/520) | 78% (265/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/520) | 78% (265/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (104/145) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Radojevic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', Teuchert C. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
- 59', Wallem C. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Saletros A. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
- 65', Saletros A. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
- 65', Cuypers H. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
- 66', Polvara D. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Totland T. ⚽,
- 77', Borso D. ↓, Gutman A. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Lowen E. ⚽, Joyner M. (A),
- 82', Waterman J. 🟨,
- 85', Radojevic V. ↓, Poreba D. ↑,
- 85', Mbokazi M. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
- 85', Cordova S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 85', Totland T. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
- 87', Becher S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
42.7% | Draw
25.9% | St. Louis City
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire's form might have worsened.St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.9) |
3.53 ↓
(3.73) |
3 ↓
(3.54) |
7.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Chicago is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, St. Louis City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chicago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against St. Louis City?
Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Chicago Fire?
St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
16.08.2025
Chicago Fire
-
St. Louis City
3:2
11.05.2024
St. Louis City
-
Chicago Fire
3:1
13.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
St. Louis City
1:0
09.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
St. Louis City
2:1
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of St. Louis City
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 4 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 7 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 13 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 15 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 16 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 21 | DC United | Bye | |
| 23 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | New York City | |
| 29 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 31 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 37 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 39 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 40 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 41 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 42 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 45 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 47 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 48 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 53 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 55 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 57 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 61 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 63 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 3 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 4 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 7 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 11 | DC United | Bye | |
| 12 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | New York City | |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 16 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 19 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 20 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 23 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 24 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 25 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 28 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 31 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 32 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 13 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Orlando City | Atlanta Utd | |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | New York City | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
Semi-finalsFinal
