Toronto Marlies vs Chicago Wolves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
5:2
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2534
Shooting PCT
20% (5/25)5.88% (2/34)
Goalkeeper Saves
3220
Saves PCT
94.12% (32/34)83.33% (20/24)
Penalties
65
PIM
1513
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (6/6)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 15:11, 1 - 0, Johnstone M. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 16:55, 1 - 1, Badinka D. (G), Robidas J. (A), Valimaki J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 03:09, 2 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 07:44, 3 - 1, Quillan J. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
  • 12:33, 3 - 2, Slavin J. (G), Brind'Amour S. (A),
  • 16:16, 4 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Valis B. (A), Benning M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 18:43, 5 - 2, Benning M. (G),

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
38.4%		Draw
22.8%		Chicago Wolves
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 22.1% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.4% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.22)    		 4.04 ↓
    (4.2)    		 2.4 ↓
    (2.57)    		 8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 56:40. (average 3.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.7:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves 4:5
    02.11.2025 Chicago Wolves - Toronto Marlies 2:4
    01.11.2025 Chicago Wolves - Toronto Marlies 4:1
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    28.02.2026 Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves 4:5
    25.02.2026 Laval Rocket - Toronto Marlies 1:4
    21.02.2026 Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies 3:2
    20.02.2026 Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies 4:2
    18.02.2026 Toronto Marlies - Hershey Bears 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Chicago Wolves
    28.02.2026 Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves 4:5
    21.02.2026 Chicago Wolves - Texas Stars 5:4
    20.02.2026 Grand Rapids Griffins - Chicago Wolves 2:1
    19.02.2026 Chicago Wolves - Iowa Wild 2:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Chicago Wolves - Colorado Eagles 3:2
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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