Result
5:2
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 5.88% (2/34) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (32/34) | 83.33% (20/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 80% (4/5) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 15:11, 1 - 0, Johnstone M. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
- 16:55, 1 - 1, Badinka D. (G), Robidas J. (A), Valimaki J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 03:09, 2 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
- 07:44, 3 - 1, Quillan J. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
- 12:33, 3 - 2, Slavin J. (G), Brind'Amour S. (A),
- 16:16, 4 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Valis B. (A), Benning M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 18:43, 5 - 2, Benning M. (G),
Chances of winning
Toronto Marlies
38.4% | Draw
22.8% | Chicago Wolves
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Chicago Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.22) |
4.04 ↓
(4.2) |
2.4 ↓
(2.57) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Toronto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 56:40. (average 3.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.7:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Chicago Wolves?
Toronto Marlies has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Wolves won against Toronto Marlies?
Chicago Wolves has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves were as follows:
28.02.2026
Toronto Marlies
-
Chicago Wolves
4:5
02.11.2025
Chicago Wolves
-
Toronto Marlies
2:4
01.11.2025
Chicago Wolves
-
Toronto Marlies
4:1
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
Latest results of Chicago Wolves
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins | 55 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 182:118 | 87 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 57 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 189:150 | 79 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 56 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 188:157 | 71 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 57 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 164:177 | 60 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 57 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 170:178 | 56 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 56 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 166:188 | 54 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 56 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 151:196 | 51 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 55 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 149:185 | 50 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 56 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 196:111 | 90 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 53 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 172:167 | 68 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 51 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 132:143 | 58 |
| 4 | Texas Stars | 54 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 162:171 | 58 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 54 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 152:165 | 51 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 56 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 152:194 | 44 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 54 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 126:170 | 43 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 56 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 190:151 | 78 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 55 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 178:139 | 74 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 54 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 188:164 | 72 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 57 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 192:178 | 70 |
| 5 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 55 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 184:170 | 65 |
| 6 | San Diego Gulls | 55 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 164:161 | 62 |
| 7 | Henderson Silver Knights | 53 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 174:168 | 58 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 55 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 171:182 | 58 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 57 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 152:208 | 52 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 57 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 132:191 | 48 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket | 59 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 192:157 | 77 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch | 56 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 184:136 | 74 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters | 56 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 164:167 | 67 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies | 56 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 176:180 | 63 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 54 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 166:168 | 57 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 58 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 181:214 | 52 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 56 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 144:179 | 49 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
