Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Kljajic D. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Kyeremateng N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Fossombrone 55.8% | Draw 26.1% | Chieti 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fossombrone's performance.Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chieti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fossombrone that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fossombrone - Chieti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (2.02) |
3.62 ↑ (3.33) |
5.21 ↑ (3.25) |
5.9% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
- Fossombrone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chieti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against Chieti?
Fossombrone has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chieti won against Fossombrone?
Chieti has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fossombrone - Chieti were as follows:
07.09.2025
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
1:1
12.01.2025
Fossombrone
-
Chieti
1:1
15.09.2024
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
0:1
17.03.2024
Fossombrone
-
Chieti
0:1
05.11.2023
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
3:2
Latest results of Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation