Fossombrone vs Chieti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kljajic D. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Kyeremateng N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Fossombrone
55.8%
Draw
26.1%
Chieti
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 27.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 26.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fossombrone's performance.
  • Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chieti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fossombrone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fossombrone - Chieti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (2.02)
    3.62
    (3.33)
    5.21
    (3.25)
    5.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Fossombrone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chieti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fossombrone - Chieti were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Chieti - Fossombrone 1:1
    12.01.2025 Fossombrone - Chieti 1:1
    15.09.2024 Chieti - Fossombrone 0:1
    17.03.2024 Fossombrone - Chieti 0:1
    05.11.2023 Chieti - Fossombrone 3:2
    Latest results of Fossombrone
    Latest results of Chieti
    21.12.2025 Maceratese - Chieti 4:0
    14.12.2025 Chieti - Vigor Senigallia 0:1
    07.12.2025 Giulianova - Chieti 3:2
    30.11.2025 UniPomezia - Chieti 0:0
    23.11.2025 Chieti - Ostia Mare 1:3
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare34247365:254079
    2Ancona34237459:223776
    3Teramo342111265:293674
    4Atletico Ascoli341413755:352055
    5Notaresco Calcio341312943:311251
    6L Aquila341491153:44951
    7Giulianova341116740:31949
    8Vigor Senigallia341213945:40549
    9Fossombrone3411111228:34-644
    10Unipomezia3410121243:42142
    11Termoli348151127:30-339
    12Maceratese341151843:49-638
    13Sora349111440:50-1038
    14Calcio Chieti348111531:55-2435
    15Recanatese34881839:57-1832
    16San Marino Calcio34871933:61-2831
    17Castelfidardo34652330:65-3523
    18Sammaurese34572230:69-3920

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation