Result
1:0
15/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EAFF E-1 Football Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | CCTV-5, Leisu Sports, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Hong-kong | RTHK TV 32 |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/356) | 76% (260/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/356) | 76% (260/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (83/128) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Huang Zhengyu ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
- 44', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Lau K. ↑,
- 44', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
- 45+2', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mahama A. ↓, Stefan ↑,
- 60', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Benavides Medeiros N. ↑,
- 62', Juninho 🟨,
- 62', Wang Shiqin 🟨,
- 71', Serginho ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,
- 71', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Liao Jintao ↑,
- 71', Xie Wenneng ↓, Ba Dun ↑,
- 78', Fernando ↓, Wong W. ↑,
- 84', Tan Chun-Lok 🟨,
- 87', Zhang Yuning ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
- 88', Wang Y. ↓, Tao Qianglong ↑,
Chances of winning
China
62.8% | Draw
22.8% | Hong Kong
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Hong Kong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
China - Hong Kong Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
4.06 ↑
(3.8) |
6.42 ↓
(7.2) |
8.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for China - Hong Kong?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hong Kong will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for China: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. China (votes: 1 - 20%). Hong Kong (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Hong Kong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- China may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, China is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has China won against Hong Kong?
China has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hong Kong won against China?
Hong Kong has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between China - Hong Kong were as follows:
01.01.2024
China
-
Hong Kong
1:2
Latest results of Hong Kong
EAFF E-1 Table
Final tournament | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | China | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
