China vs Hong Kong, EAFF E-1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football EAFF E-1 China - Hong Kong
Result
1:0
15/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EAFF E-1 Football Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaCCTV-5, Leisu Sports, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongRTHK TV 32
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.35
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
75% (266/356)76% (260/344)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.28
Total shots
198
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
75% (266/356)76% (260/344)
Long passes
47% (32/68)40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
65% (83/128)61% (58/95)
Crosses
47% (7/15)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.68
Throw-ins
1727
Fouls
1419
Tackles
100% (13/13)56% (5/9)
Duels won
6756
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.280.43
Goals prevented
0.28-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Huang Zhengyu , Zhang Yuning (A),
  • 44', Udebuluzor M. , Lau K. ,
  • 44', Yue Tze-Nam , Benhaddouche C. ,
  • 45+2', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mahama A. , Stefan ,
  • 60', Sun Ming-Him , Benavides Medeiros N. ,
  • 62', Juninho 🟨,
  • 62', Wang Shiqin 🟨,
  • 71', Serginho , Kuai Jiwen ,
  • 71', Huang Zhengyu , Liao Jintao ,
  • 71', Xie Wenneng , Ba Dun ,
  • 78', Fernando , Wong W. ,
  • 84', Tan Chun-Lok 🟨,
  • 87', Zhang Yuning , Liu Chengyu ,
  • 88', Wang Y. , Tao Qianglong ,

Chances of winning


China
62.8%
Draw
22.8%
Hong Kong
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 24.1% 12.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Hong Kong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • China - Hong Kong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.45)
    4.06
    (3.8)
    6.42
    (7.2)
    8.3%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for China - Hong Kong?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hong Kong will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for China: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. China (votes: 1 - 20%). Hong Kong (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hong Kong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • China may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, China is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between China - Hong Kong were as follows:
    01.01.2024 China - Hong Kong 1:2
    Latest results of China
    12.07.2025 Japan - China 2:0
    07.07.2025 South Korea - China 3:0
    10.06.2025 China - Bahrain 1:0
    05.06.2025 Indonesia - China 1:0
    25.03.2025 China - Australia 0:2
    Latest results of Hong Kong
    11.07.2025 Hong Kong - South Korea 0:2
    08.07.2025 Japan - Hong Kong 6:1
    10.06.2025 Hong Kong - India 1:0
    05.06.2025 Hong Kong - Nepal 0:0
    EAFF E-1 Table
    Final tournament
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Japan33009:189
    2South Korea32015:146
    3China31021:5-43
    4Hong Kong30031:9-80