Result
4:2
08/11/2025 at 18:07 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (346/404) | 84% (429/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (346/404) | 84% (429/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (90/115) | 63% (83/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Alvarez E. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
- 26', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 31', 3 - 0, Alvarado R. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Salcedo C. 🟨,
- 56', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 57', Ledezma R. 🟨,
- 60', Salcedo C. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 60', Corona J. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
- 63', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 63', Alvarado R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez M. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
- 68', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 1, de la Rosa R. ⚽, Canales S. (A),
- 80', 3 - 2, Canales S. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
- 81', Alvarez E. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 85', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 90+1', Rangel R. 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Chicharito ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
44% | Draw
26.2% | Monterrey
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.09) |
3.65 ↑
(3.48) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
5.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Monterrey (3.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Monterrey has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guadalajara could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Campillo Del Campo D.
(Foot Injury)
Romo L.
(Red Card)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Monterrey: Rodriguez J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Fimbres I.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Monterrey?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Monterrey has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey were as follows:
05.04.2025
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
28.09.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:1
30.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
03.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:2
07.01.2023
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
