Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/441) | 86% (362/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/441) | 86% (362/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 56% (33/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (88/120) | 69% (70/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.94 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, de la Rosa R. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Berterame G. ⚽, de la Rosa R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Guzman V. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 46', Beltran F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 48', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Alvarado R. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
- 53', Deossa N. 🟨,
- 65', de la Rosa R. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
- 67', Chicharito ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 67', Cowell C. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 74', Torres O. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 78', Alvarado R. 🟨,
- 79', Fimbres I. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 79', Berterame G. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 80', Romo L. 🟥,
- 85', 3 - 1, Deossa N. ⚽,
- 90+3', Padilla Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
46.1% | Draw
27.7% | Chivas Guadalajara
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.89) |
3.4 ↓
(3.6) |
3.61 ↓
(3.96) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Monterrey will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Thigh Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
Tapias M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Monterrey won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monterrey won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Monterrey has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Monterrey?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
28.09.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:1
30.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
03.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:2
07.01.2023
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
23.08.2022
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:0
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
