Result
2:3
21/03/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 74% (222/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (442/508) | 74% (222/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 52% (33/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (95/123) | 64% (39/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 37', Govea O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Salcedo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 2, Castillo J. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 55', 0 - 3, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Ledezma R. (A),
- 59', Ambriz F. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
- 59', Reyes C. ↓, Bustos C. ↑,
- 61', Alvarado R. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 61', Sepulveda A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 68', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 76', de la Rosa R. ↓, Galvez O. ↑,
- 76', Orellano L. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
- 76', Govea O. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 84', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 3, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Chavez R. (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Chavez R. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
- 90+5', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Djurdjevic U. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Monterrey
26.2% | Draw
26.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterrey's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterrey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(2.73) |
3.59 ↑
(3.38) |
1.98 ↓
(2.36) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Guadalajara (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Guadalajara (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Guadalajara (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Guadalajara (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Guadalajara (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Guadalajara might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Aguirre E.
(Injury)
Guzman V.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Romo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Ambriz F.
(Muscle Injury)
Fimbres I.
(Injury)
Torres O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Monterrey has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Monterrey?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
08.11.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
4:2
05.04.2025
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
28.09.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:1
30.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
03.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Monterrey
1:2
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Club America | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Atlas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Juarez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Puebla | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
