Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 21:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Marquez Lopez M. F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, FOX One, Tubi TV |
 Usa | FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Castro D. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
- 63', Diaz B. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
- 63', Lopez V. ↓, Le Sommer E. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Lopez S. ⚽,
- 71', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Martinez K. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 77', Casarez J. A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
- 84', Jakobsson S. ↓, Valadez N. ↑,
- 86', Franco Y. ↓, Pelayo M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
46% | Draw
25.2% | Toluca
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.98) |
3.64 ↑
(3.5) |
3.19 ↑
(3.1) |
9%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-2. Aggregate: 2-4. 2nd leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Toluca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of away games.
- Guadalajara could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:13. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca were as follows:
09.11.2025
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
06.11.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
2:2
13.08.2025
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:1
13.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
02.09.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Juarez W (8) | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Pachuca W (4) | Guadalajara Chivas W (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monterrey W (2) | Cruz Azul W (7) | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL W (3) | Toluca W (6) | 1 : 2 |
