Result
4:2
09/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 18% | 82% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (82/131) | 89% (528/592) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (82/131) | 89% (528/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 71% (34/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 84% (220/261) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 35% (16/46) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 3.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, van Lingen O. ⚽, Sansanit K. (A),
- 26', Dougall K. 🟨,
- 30', Ablorh L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Sukjitthammakul P. ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
- 46', Bauer R. ↓, Ko Myeong-Seok ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Bolingi J. ⚽, van Lingen O. (A),
- 53', 2 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Weerawatnodom N. (A),
- 59', Jaided S. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Sayriya N. (Pen),
- 62', Hemviboon P. 🟨,
- 63', Kraisorn A. ↓, Houla G. ↑,
- 64', Seaisakul P. ↓, Tapsuvanavon C. ↑,
- 66', Jaided S. ↓, Mueanta S. ↑,
- 81', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Biesamrit N. ↑,
- 81', van Lingen O. ↓, Wandee S. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Channgom S. ⚽,
- 86', Weerawatnodom N. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 89', Wandee S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hemviboon P. ↓, Mulic F. ↑,
- 90+12', 4 - 2, Houla G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Chonburi
14.6% | Draw
19.9% | Buriram United
65.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Chonburi aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Chonburi - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.29 ↑
(6.13) |
4.6 ↓
(4.67) |
1.4
(1.4) |
9.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chonburi - Buriram United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Chonburi (1.90) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Chonburi (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 0.
- Recent performances by Chonburi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Buriram is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chonburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Buriram has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Buriram is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chonburi won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chonburi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chonburi won against Buriram United?
Chonburi has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Chonburi?
Buriram United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chonburi - Buriram United were as follows:
10.03.2024
Chonburi
-
Buriram United
1:1
08.10.2023
Buriram United
-
Chonburi
2:2
29.01.2023
Buriram United
-
Chonburi
2:0
27.08.2022
Chonburi
-
Buriram United
2:3
Latest results of Chonburi
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Uthai Thani | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:30 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 28:38 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13:33 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
