Result
3:1
14/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.42 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
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33% | 67% |
Total shots |
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7 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 8 |
Passes |
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68% (152/223) | 85% (371/437) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.42 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.62 | 1.60 |
Total shots |
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7 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 12 |
Passes |
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68% (152/223) | 85% (371/437) |
Long passes |
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38% (26/68) | 57% (29/51) |
Passes in final third |
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47% (25/53) | 76% (131/173) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/6) | 28% (8/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.12 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 28 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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90% (9/10) | 100% (8/8) |
Duels won |
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24 | 27 |
Clearances |
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26 | 11 |
Interceptions |
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2 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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1.60 | 1.62 |
Goals prevented |
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0.60 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Zhang Zimin (A),
- 44', 2 - 0, Tang Shi ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
- 45+3', Cheng Yetong 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Li Zhenquan ↑,
- 46', Cheng Yetong ↓, Leonardo ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Li Zhenquan ⚽, Xiang Yuwang (A),
- 51', 🟨,
- 56', Tang Shi ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
- 59', Yang Fan 🟨,
- 67', Ma Chenghao ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
- 67', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
- 75', Yang Fan ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
- 75', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
- 75', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
- 78', Ruan Qilong ↓, Huang Xiyang ↑,
- 89', Erikys ↓, He Shaolin ↑,
- 90+3', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dingnan United 24.5% | Draw 28.1% | Chongqing Tongliang Long 47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.99 ↓ (4.53) |
3.47 ↑ (3.43) |
2.06 ↑ (1.71) |
2.5% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dingnan United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Chongqing is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dingnan United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Dingnan United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Dingnan United?
Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long were as follows:
03.05.2025
Chongqing Tongliang Long
-
Dingnan United
2:1
Latest results of Dingnan United
Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 49:24 | 25 | 50 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 44:26 | 18 | 46 |
3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Yanbian Longding | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 36 |
5 | Dalian K'un City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 34 |
6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Nanjing City | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Shaanxi Union | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
11 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 26 |
12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 24 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20:34 | -14 | 21 |
15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13:29 | -16 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League