Result
3:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Jones P. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 1, Weeks D. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 2, Calveley M. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 2, Kelly-Evans D. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Murray-Jones G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chester 36.8% | Draw 27% | Chorley 36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Chester - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.19) |
3.37 ↓ (3.72) |
2.54 ↓ (2.85) |
9.3% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chester - Chorley?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
- Chester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chester is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chester won against Chorley?
Chester has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Chester?
Chorley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Chorley were as follows:
16.08.2025
Chorley
-
Chester
3:0
08.03.2025
Chorley
-
Chester
3:2
23.11.2024
Chester
-
Chorley
2:1
23.01.2024
Chorley
-
Chester
0:2
15.08.2023
Chester
-
Chorley
0:0
Latest results of Chester
Latest results of Chorley
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 38 | 27 | 4 | 7 | 94:41 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 81:35 | 46 | 81 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 39 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 86:69 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 62 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 65:54 | 11 | 61 |
| 7 | AFC Telford | 39 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 77:52 | 25 | 60 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 53:46 | 7 | 59 |
| 9 | Chester | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 57:60 | -3 | 57 |
| 10 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 11 | Buxton | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 62:53 | 9 | 54 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 51:62 | -11 | 53 |
| 13 | Marine | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 49:55 | -6 | 52 |
| 14 | Chorley | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 60:57 | 3 | 49 |
| 15 | Southport | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 48 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 46 |
| 17 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 45 |
| 18 | Worksop | 39 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 44 |
| 19 | Bedford | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 56:67 | -11 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 47:59 | -12 | 39 |
| 21 | Hereford | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 47:60 | -13 | 38 |
| 22 | Peterborough Sports | 39 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 43:74 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Alfreton | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35:66 | -31 | 36 |
| 24 | Leamington | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:68 | -41 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation