Chester vs Chorley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Jones P. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Popoola A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Weeks D. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Calveley M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Kelly-Evans D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Murray-Jones G. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
36.8%
Draw
27%
Chorley
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 25% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 24.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.
  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Chester - Chorley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.19)
    3.37
    (3.72)
    2.54
    (2.85)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chester - Chorley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
    • Chester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chester is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Chorley were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:0
    08.03.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:2
    23.11.2024 Chester - Chorley 2:1
    23.01.2024 Chorley - Chester 0:2
    15.08.2023 Chester - Chorley 0:0
    Latest results of Chester
    Latest results of Chorley
    30.12.2025 Chorley - Marine 2:1
    26.12.2025 Fylde - Chorley 1:0
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    06.12.2025 Worksop Town - Chorley 1:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde33243682:354775
    2South Shields33228374:284674
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Darlington33168964:471756
    5Kidderminster321511644:35956
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7AFC Telford341411967:462153
    8Scarborough3514111049:44553
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton30881430:55-2532
    23Hereford28771435:50-1528
    24Leamington33472223:59-3619

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation