Chester vs Chorley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Jones P. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Popoola A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Weeks D. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Calveley M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Kelly-Evans D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Murray-Jones G. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
36.8%
Draw
27%
Chorley
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 25% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 24.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.
  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Chester - Chorley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.19)
    3.37
    (3.72)
    2.54
    (2.85)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chester - Chorley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
    • Chester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chester is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Chorley were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:0
    08.03.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:2
    23.11.2024 Chester - Chorley 2:1
    23.01.2024 Chorley - Chester 0:2
    15.08.2023 Chester - Chorley 0:0
    Latest results of Chester
    Latest results of Chorley
    30.12.2025 Chorley - Marine 2:1
    26.12.2025 Fylde - Chorley 1:0
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    06.12.2025 Worksop Town - Chorley 1:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde38274794:415385
    2South Shields38249581:354681
    3Merthyr Town392131586:691766
    4Kidderminster371812754:391566
    5Darlington381881270:531762
    6Macclesfield361871165:541161
    7AFC Telford3916121177:522560
    8Scarborough3915141053:46759
    9Chester3915121257:60-357
    10Radcliffe391751765:63256
    11Buxton381661662:53954
    12Spennymoor371581451:62-1153
    13Marine361571449:55-652
    14Chorley3813101560:57349
    15Southport3912121553:60-748
    16Curzon Ashton3912101759:74-1546
    17Kingu2019s Lynn3811121547:53-645
    18Worksop391281951:69-1844
    19Bedford3911101856:67-1143
    20Oxford City381091947:59-1239
    21Hereford341081647:60-1338
    22Peterborough Sports391072243:74-3137
    23Alfreton36991835:66-3136
    24Leamington38582527:68-4123

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation