Chester vs Chorley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Jones P. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Popoola A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Weeks D. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Calveley M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Kelly-Evans D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Murray-Jones G. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
36.8%
Draw
27%
Chorley
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 25% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 24.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.
  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Chester - Chorley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.19)
    3.37
    (3.72)
    2.54
    (2.85)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chester - Chorley?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
    • Chester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chester is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Chorley were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:0
    08.03.2025 Chorley - Chester 3:2
    23.11.2024 Chester - Chorley 2:1
    23.01.2024 Chorley - Chester 0:2
    15.08.2023 Chester - Chorley 0:0
    Latest results of Chester
    Latest results of Chorley
    30.12.2025 Chorley - Marine 2:1
    26.12.2025 Fylde - Chorley 1:0
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    06.12.2025 Worksop Town - Chorley 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)