Chorley vs South Shields – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Finch S. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Sampson J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+4', Calveley M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chorley
29.9%
Draw
26.6%
South Shields
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 23.9% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 23.1% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Shields could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chorley - South Shields Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.23)
    3.48
    (3.88)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 1.
    • Chorley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • South Shields is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • South Shields may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chorley has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, South Shields has had a series of home games.
    • South Shields could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - South Shields were as follows:
    04.10.2025 South Shields - Chorley 2:0
    27.09.2025 South Shields - Chorley 4:1
    15.02.2025 Chorley - South Shields 2:1
    21.09.2024 South Shields - Chorley 3:3
    12.03.2024 South Shields - Chorley 2:1
    Latest results of Chorley
    24.02.2026 Spennymoor Town - Chorley 1:0
    21.02.2026 Bedford Town - Chorley 2:0
    14.02.2026 Chorley - Radcliffe 0:1
    Latest results of South Shields
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to