Luke Humphries vs Chris Dobey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:5
22/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • European Tour 3 - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
63.9%
Chris Dobey
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Chris Dobey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.47)

    2.54
    (2.49)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 13.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 3.
    • Humphries has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Dobey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dobey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Humphries is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:43. (average 4.2:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries 6:3
    27.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey 6:3
    13.02.2025 Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey 6:4
    31.07.2024 Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey 4:6
    27.05.2023 Luke Humphries - Chris Dobey 6:5
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Chris Dobey
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1Littler L.Bye
    2van Barneveld R.Krcmar B.1 : 6
    3De Decker M.Bye
    4Zonneveld N.Haavisto J.6 : 4
    5Noppert D.Bye
    6Woodhouse L.Devroey P. (Q)6 : 2
    7Searle R.Bye
    8Williams S.Evans R.2 : 6
    9Clayton J.Bye
    10Nijman W.Bialecki S.3 : 6
    11Smith R.Bye
    12Menzies C.Lap S.6 : 1
    13Bunting S.Bye
    14Cullen J.Baetens A. (Q)5 : 6
    15Schindler M.Bye
    16O'Connor W.Thorpe T.6 : 1
    17Humphries L.Bye
    18van Duijvenbode D.Wenig L.6 : 3
    19Wattimena J.Bye
    20Meikle R.Schweyen F. (Q)6 : 4
    21Rock J.Bye
    22Springer N.Huybrechts K. (Q)3 : 6
    23Dobey C.Bye
    24Chisnall D.Tricole T.6 : 2
    25van Gerwen M.Bye
    26Smith M.Mansell M.3 : 6
    27Heta D.Bye
    28Gurney D.White I.6 : 1
    29Wade J.Bye
    30Ratajski K.Reyes C.4 : 6
    31Aspinall N.Bye
    32Joyce R.Gawlas A.6 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Krcmar B.6 : 2
    2De Decker M. (16)Zonneveld N.5 : 6
    3Noppert D. (8)Woodhouse L.6 : 3
    4Searle R. (9)Evans R.6 : 5
    5Clayton J. (4)Bialecki S.6 : 3
    6Smith R. (13)Menzies C.6 : 4
    7Bunting S. (5)Baetens A.4 : 6
    8Schindler M. (12)O'Connor W.6 : 3
    9Humphries L. (2)van Duijvenbode D.6 : 4
    10Wattimena J. (15)Meikle R.6 : 3
    11Rock J. (7)Huybrechts K.4 : 6
    12Dobey C. (10)Chisnall D.6 : 3
    13van Gerwen M. (3)Mansell M.6 : 4
    14Heta D. (14)Gurney D.3 : 6
    15Wade J. (6)Reyes C.2 : 6
    16Aspinall N. (11)Joyce R.3 : 6

    1/8-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Zonneveld N.5 : 6
    2Noppert D. (8)Searle R. (9)6 : 5
    3Clayton J. (4)Smith R. (13)6 : 5
    4Baetens A.Schindler M. (12)6 : 5
    5Humphries L. (2)Wattimena J. (15)6 : 1
    6Huybrechts K.Dobey C. (10)3 : 6
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Gurney D.6 : 5
    8Reyes C.Joyce R.5 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1Zonneveld N.Noppert D. (8)6 : 3
    2Clayton J. (4)Baetens A.6 : 1
    3Humphries L. (2)Dobey C. (10)6 : 5
    4van Gerwen M. (3)Joyce R.6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Zonneveld N.Clayton J. (4)6 : 7
    2Humphries L. (2)van Gerwen M. (3)

    Final
    1Clayton J. (4)TBD #2