Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Christian Garin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Antofagasta Challenger Men Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christian Garin
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
62%60%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (18/28)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)36% (10/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
67% (39/58)59% (48/81)
Return Points Won
41% (33/81)33% (19/58)
Total Points Won
52% (72/139)48% (67/139)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Facundo Diaz Acosta
50.4%
Christian Garin
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.
  • Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christian Garin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christian Garin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christian Garin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.11)

    1.93
    (1.73)
    5.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christian Garin?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Garin will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 63%95.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Christian Garin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 265. Garin is ranked ATP: 125.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christian Garin were as follows:
    05.01.2023 Christian Garin - Facundo Diaz Acosta 2:0
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    3Soto M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    4Bagnis F. (WC)Maestrelli F. (5)2 : 1
    5Dellien H. (3)Guillen Meza A.1 : 2
    6Pacheco Mendez R.Boscardin Dias P. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Kicker N.Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Torres J. B. (Q)Neumayer L. (7)0 : 2
    9Thanos A. (LL)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    10Collarini A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    11Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Midon L.1 : 2
    12Olivieri G. A.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    13Habib H.Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    14Nunez D. A. (WC)Zarate C. M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Villanueva G. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torrealba B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Gomez F. A.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J. (WO.)Bagnis F.
    3Guillen Meza A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Diaz Acosta F.Neumayer L. (7)2 : 0
    5Thanos A.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    6Midon L.Barrios Vera T. (4)0 : 2
    7Habib H.Zarate C. M.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gomez F. A.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Guillen Meza A.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    3Vallejo D.Barrios Vera T. (4)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Garin C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Diaz Acosta F.1 : 2
    2Vallejo D.Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Diaz Acosta F.Garin C. (2)1 : 2