Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (39/54) | 68% (50/74) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 41% (16/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 28% (15/54) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 57% (24/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 47 | 26 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 71% (10/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (57/96) | 58% (66/113) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (47/113) | 41% (39/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (104/209) | 50% (105/209) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul
69.4% | Christian Garin
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christian Garin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tommy Paul - Christian Garin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.47) |
|
3.06 ↑
(2.65) |
6.2%
(6.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Christian Garin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Garin will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Garin is ranked ATP: 133.
- Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Garin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Paul is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Christian Garin?
Tommy Paul has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Christian Garin won against Tommy Paul?
Christian Garin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Christian Garin were as follows:
12.05.2023
Christian Garin
-
Tommy Paul
2:1
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Christian Garin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Garin C. (WC) | Ritschard A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Quinn E. (WC) | Thompson J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. | Brooksby J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holt B. | Denolly C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Nishikori K. (8) | Krueger M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Hijikata R. | Eubanks C. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Galan D. E. | McDonald M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hanfmann Y. | Mannarino A. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Mmoh M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Garin C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (3) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nishikori K. (RET.) (8) | Eubanks C. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | McDonald M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Michelsen A. (5) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Walton A. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Eubanks C. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
