Christoph Negritu vs Andrea Guerrieri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sibiu Challenger Men Christoph Negritu - Andrea Guerrieri
Result
2:1
16/09/2024 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sibiu (Romania) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Brisc A. (Rou)

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (40/53)74% (32/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (16/37)39% (12/31)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/43)28% (15/53)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (19/31)57% (21/37)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)30% (3/10)
Max Points In Row
98
Service Points Won
62% (55/89)59% (44/74)
Return Points Won
41% (30/74)38% (34/89)
Total Points Won
52% (85/163)48% (78/163)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
61.5%
Andrea Guerrieri
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.
  • Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Guerrieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Guerrieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christoph Negritu - Andrea Guerrieri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.77)

    2.42
    (1.96)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Andrea Guerrieri?
  • Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 457. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 564.
    • Negritu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Guerrieri is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Negritu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Negritu will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Latest results of Andrea Guerrieri
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Planinsek F. J.2 : 0
    2Kuzmanov D.Damas M. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Budkov Kjaer N.Dubrivnyy A. (Q)1 : 2
    4Sanchez Izquierdo N.Cretu C. (8)0 : 2
    5Molleker R. (4)Palosi S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Fonio G.Gima S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Elias G. (RET.)Pavlovic L.0 : 0
    8Denolly C. (Alt)Draxl L. (5)1 : 2
    9Dalla Valle E. (7)Giustino L.2 : 0
    10Olivieri G. A. (Q)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    11Sels J.Gea A. (Q)0 : 2
    12Plans J. (WC)Royer V. (3)0 : 2
    13Maestrelli F. (6)Martin Tiffon P.0 : 2
    14Negritu Ch. (Q)Berrettini J. (WC)2 : 0
    15Den Ouden G.Barton H. (Q)0 : 2
    16Agamenone F.Skatov T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Damas M.2 : 1
    2Dubrivnyy A.Cretu C. (8)0 : 2
    3Molleker R. (4)Fonio G.2 : 1
    4Pavlovic L.Draxl L. (5)2 : 0
    5Dalla Valle E. (7)Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    6Gea A.Royer V. (3)1 : 2
    7Martin Tiffon P.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Barton H.Skatov T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Cretu C. (8)0 : 2
    2Molleker R. (4)Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    3Olivieri G. A.Royer V. (3)0 : 2
    4Martin Tiffon P.Barton H.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cretu C. (8)Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    2Royer V. (3)Barton H.2 : 0

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Royer V. (3)0 : 2