Christoph Negritu vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Valencia Challenger Men Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar
Result
2:1
06/10/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
113
1st Serve Percentage
70%63%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (42/62)56% (37/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (9/27)33% (13/39)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)50% (9/18)
1st Return Points Won
44% (29/66)32% (20/62)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (26/39)67% (18/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (9/18)42% (5/12)
Max Points In Row
128
Service Points Won
57% (51/89)48% (50/105)
Return Points Won
52% (55/105)43% (38/89)
Total Points Won
55% (106/194)45% (88/194)
Max Games In Row
42
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)40% (6/15)
Return Games Won
60% (9/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
34.8%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.07)

    1.43
    (1.66)
    7.5%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Negritu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 426. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 331.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Negritu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Merida Aguilar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Gea A.Zapata Miralles B. (WC)2 : 1
    3Molleker R. (Alt)Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    4Buse I.Rocha H. (8)2 : 0
    5Galan D. E. (4)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Pellegrino A.Brancaccio R. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arnaboldi F.Choinski J.0 : 2
    8Schwaerzler J. J. (Q)Kopriva V. (6)2 : 0
    9Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Andreev A.2 : 0
    10Barranco Cosano J.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    11Taberner C.Jianu F. C. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Negritu Ch. (Q)Tirante T. A. (3)0 : 2
    13Ramos A. (5)Moeller E. (SE)0 : 2
    14Gakhov I. (Q)Faria J.1 : 2
    15Novak D. (Q)Dodig M.2 : 0
    16Paire B. (WC)Garin C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Gea A.2 : 0
    2Sanchez Jover C.Buse I.0 : 2
    3Galan D. E. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Choinski J.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    5Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 1
    6Taberner C.Tirante T. A. (3)1 : 2
    7Moeller E.Faria J.1 : 2
    8Novak D.Garin C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Buse I.2 : 0
    2Galan D. E. (4)Choinski J.2 : 1
    3Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Tirante T. A. (3)2 : 1
    4Faria J.Novak D.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Martinez P. (1)Galan D. E. (4)2 : 0
    2Moreno De Alboran N. (7)Faria J.1 : 2

    Final
    1Martinez P. (1)Faria J.2 : 0