Christoph Negritu vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Oegstgeest Men Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
49.9%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gilles Arnaud Bailly's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.45)

    1.86
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 306. Bailly is ranked ATP: 582.
    • Recent performances by Negritu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bailly is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Negritu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Zick S.2 : 0
    2Raynel A.Vasa E.1 : 2
    3Demanet E.Castagnola L.1 : 2
    4Lootsma N.Slump S. (6)0 : 2
    5Gerch L. (4)Rottgering M.2 : 0
    6Forger A.Loge J.2 : 0
    7Rocens M.Pel S.0 : 2
    8Marionneau L.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Reymond A. (7)Visser M.2 : 0
    10Bol J.Sperle J.1 : 2
    11Thurner N. (LL)Balciunas M.0 : 2
    12Forejtek J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    13Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Hjorth P.2 : 1
    14Lane L.Visker N.0 : 2
    15Schoenhaus M.Bozemoj B.0 : 2
    16Wessels L.Zakharov A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Vasa E.2 : 0
    2Castagnola L.Slump S. (6)1 : 2
    3Gerch L. (4)Forger A.0 : 2
    4Pel S.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    5Reymond A. (RET.) (7)Sperle J.0 : 1
    6Balciunas M.Feldbausch K. (3)1 : 2
    7Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Visker N.2 : 1
    8Bozemoj B.Zakharov A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Slump S. (6)2 : 0
    2Forger A.Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    3Sperle J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    4Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Bozemoj B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    2Feldbausch K. (3)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A. (8)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)2 : 0