Result
2:1
10/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (52/63) | 83% (52/63) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 44% (18/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 17% (11/63) | 17% (11/63) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 46% (19/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (74/104) | 67% (70/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (34/104) | 29% (30/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (108/208) | 48% (100/208) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 6% (1/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (16/32) | 50% (16/32) |
Chances of winning
Luka Mikrut
73.8% | Christoph Negritu
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Mikrut's performance.Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Mikrut that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.53) |
|
3.55 ↑
(2.41) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Mikrut will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Negritu will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mikrut: 67.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mikrut (votes: 1 - 50%). Negritu (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mikrut is ranked ATP: 239. Negritu is ranked ATP: 318.
- Mikrut has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Negritu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mikrut is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mikrut won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Mikrut won against Christoph Negritu?
Luka Mikrut has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Christoph Negritu won against Luka Mikrut?
Christoph Negritu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Mikrut - Christoph Negritu were as follows:
03.02.2025
Christoph Negritu
-
Luka Mikrut
2:1
Latest results of Luka Mikrut
Latest results of Christoph Negritu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Martinez P. (1) | Ramos A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. (Alt) | Sanchez Jover C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Choinski J. | Damas M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Gakhov I. (Q) | Gaubas V. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Buse I. (4) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Nagal S. (Q) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Squire H. (Q) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pereira T. (LL) | Lajovic D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. | Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Zapata Miralles B. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Dedura D. (RET.) (NG) | Taberner C. (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Lopez Montagud C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mikrut L. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Jianu F. C. | Cretu C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Negritu Ch. (LL) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Kolar Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Choinski J. | Gakhov I. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Nagal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Squire H. | Lajovic D. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Martin Tiffon P. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Pavlovic L. | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lopez Montagud C. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Negritu Ch. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Choinski J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mikrut L. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Taberner C. (3) | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |
