Christoph Negritu vs Michael Vrbensky – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
15
1st serve percentage
60%51%
1st serve points won
88% (22/25)60% (21/35)
2nd serve points won
71% (12/17)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
1/15/9
1st return points won
43% (15/35)16% (4/25)
2nd return points won
55% (18/33)29% (5/17)
Break Points Converted
4/90/1
Winners
207
Unforced errors
2225
Net points won
71% (5/7)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
85% (33/39)51% (34/67)
Return Points Won
49% (33/67)15% (6/39)
Total Points Won
62% (66/106)38% (40/106)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Christoph Negritu
60.4%
Michael Vrbensky
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Vrbensky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.65)

    2.36
    (2.09)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Negritu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Negritu is ranked ATP: 370. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 567.
    • Negritu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vrbensky has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Negritu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Christoph Negritu
    Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Hassan B.
    2Wessels L. (Q)Houkes M.
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL)
    4Damas M.Choinski J. (6)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)
    6Brancaccio R. (WC)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Izquierdo N.Carballes Baena R. (8)
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Martin Tiffon P.
    10Engel J.Shelbayh A. (Alt)
    11Gill F. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)
    12Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (3)
    13Moller E. (5)Coppejans K.
    14Gakhov I.Negritu Ch. (Q)
    15Bailly G. A.Purtseladze S. (LL)
    16Moro Canas A.Gaubas V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Choinski J. (6)
    3TBD #5Brancaccio R.
    4Kukushkin M.TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2