Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (41/61) | 68% (48/71) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (23/71) | 33% (20/61) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (19/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 40% (4/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 42 | 28 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 56% (15/27) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (55/94) | 65% (63/97) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (34/97) | 41% (39/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (89/191) | 53% (102/191) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 57% (17/30) |
Chances of winning
Christopher OConnell
36.7% | Alejandro Tabilo
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.36) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.59) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 75.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- OConnell is ranked ATP: 103. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.
- OConnell has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tabilo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, OConnell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Christopher OConnell won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Christopher OConnell has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Christopher OConnell?
Alejandro Tabilo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
13.09.2025
Christopher OConnell
-
Alejandro Tabilo
O'Connell C. retired
08.04.2024
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Christopher OConnell
2:0
06.03.2023
Christopher OConnell
-
Alejandro Tabilo
1:2
Latest results of Christopher OConnell
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Prizmic D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | McDonald M. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Harris B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. (Q) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Monfils G. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sonego L. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Giron M. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bergs Z. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (5) | Zhou Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Thompson J. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | McDonald M. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Daniel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sonego L. (8) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shang J. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
