Christopher OConnell vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez
Result
1:2
23/10/2023 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: BASEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Chances of winning


Christopher OConnell
58.4%
Sebastian Baez
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher OConnell that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)

    2.31
    (2.13)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches OConnell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Borges N.2 : 0
    2Cilic M. (PR)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Wawrinka S. (WC)1 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.Shelton B. (6)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    6Van De Zandschulp B. (Q)Bublik A. (RET.)1 : 1
    7Martinez P.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    8Altmaier D. (Q)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Kym J. (Q)2 : 1
    10Goffin D. (LL)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    11Stricker D. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    12Jarry N.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (8)Baez S.2 : 0
    14Duckworth J. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    15Shapovalov D. (WC)Shang J.2 : 0
    16Bautista-Agut R. (SE)Ruud C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    2Wawrinka S.Shelton B. (6)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Humbert U. (5)Goffin D.1 : 2
    6Stricker D.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (8)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    8Shapovalov D.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Shelton B. (6)1 : 2
    2Tsitsipas S. (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    3Goffin D.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    4Mpetshi Perricard G.Shapovalov D.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shelton B. (6)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Rune H. (4)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Shelton B. (6)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2