Christopher OConnell vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez
Result
1:2
23/10/2023 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: BASEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Chances of winning


Christopher OConnell
58.4%
Sebastian Baez
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher OConnell that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)

    2.31
    (2.13)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches OConnell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vacherot V. (WC)
    2Korda S.Humbert U.
    3Baez S.Opelka R. (Q)
    4Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)Lehecka J. (6)
    5Ruud C. (4)Halys Q. (LL)
    6Kecmanovic M.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    7Brooksby J. (PR)Muller A.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)0 : 2
    9Mensik J. (7)Bernet H. (WC)
    10Mpetshi Perricard G.Fonseca J.
    11Collignon R. (SE)Rinderknech A.
    12Giron M.Shapovalov D. (9)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (5)Diallo G.
    14Goffin D. (LL)Cilic M. (Q)
    15Bertola R. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    16Majchrzak K. (Q)Shelton B. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Brooksby J.Davidovich Fokina A. (8)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Munar J.TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2