Result
2:1
02/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Caribbean Cup - Play Offs - 3rd place
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/465) | 64% (127/199) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/465) | 64% (127/199) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (111/156) | 56% (39/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Correa R. ⚽, Ventura C. (A),
- 45+8', 2 - 0, Peralta Y. M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Correa R. (Pen),
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Ollivierra D. ⚽, Molino K. (A),
- 90+7', Modesta W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cibao
51.5% | Draw
24.5% | Defence Force
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cibao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cibao's performance.Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibao than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Cibao - Defence Force Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2) |
3.68 ↑
(3.25) |
3.77 ↑
(3.33) |
10.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
- Recent performances by Cibao have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defence Force is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Defence Force may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cibao will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cibao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Cibao won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cibao won against Defence Force?
Cibao has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defence Force won against Cibao?
Defence Force has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cibao - Defence Force were as follows:
25.11.2025
Defence Force
-
Cibao
3:0
01.10.2025
Cibao
-
Defence Force
0:2
Latest results of Defence Force
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Universidad O&M | Cibao | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Defence Force | Mount Pleasant | 1 : 0, 1 : 5 |
Final| 1 | Universidad O&M | Mount Pleasant | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
3rd place| 2 | Cibao | Defence Force | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
