Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano
Result
1:1
08/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.39
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
75% (203/272)86% (409/473)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.30
Total shots
619
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
825
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
910
Passes
75% (203/272)86% (409/473)
Long passes
35% (23/65)69% (61/88)
Passes in final third
48% (31/65)73% (107/146)
Crosses
36% (4/11)26% (9/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.40
Throw-ins
1129
Fouls
1110
Tackles
57% (12/21)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
4210
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.300.27
Goals prevented
0.30-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Cardenas P. , Marchioni J. (A),
  • 60', Marchioni J. , Chipao R. ,
  • 67', Ortiz J. , Da Silva B. ,
  • 67', Aguirre G. , Benites Vargas L. E. ,
  • 74', Souza Espana C. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 75', Noronha O. , Garces C. ,
  • 76', Figueroa N. 🟨,
  • 77', Figueroa N. , Sanchez G. ,
  • 77', Vilchez Y. , Alcedo F. ,
  • 80', Arias Fierro S. D. , Ramua A. ,
  • 84', Cardenas P. 🟨,
  • 84', Cardenas P. , Paredes G. ,
  • 84', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Lecaros A. ,
  • 90+1', Gamero Y. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. , Hohberg A. (A),
  • 90+6', Hohberg A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
26.7%
Draw
29.5%
Cienciano
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 28.9% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 29.5% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.
  • Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.54)
    3.17
    (3.26)
    2.18
    (2.78)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano?
  • Users Predictions: Cienciano will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cienciano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Comerciantes Unidos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cienciano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Guzman W. (Red Card) Sen M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Carpio Ferro M. P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cienciano: Neira C. (Injury) Romagnoli J. (Injury) Sandoval R. (Stomach Disorder)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos 3:2
    13.07.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos 1:0
    Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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