Result
1:1
08/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (203/272) | 86% (409/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (203/272) | 86% (409/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 69% (61/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 73% (107/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 26% (9/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 0, Cardenas P. ⚽, Marchioni J. (A),
- 60', Marchioni J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 67', Ortiz J. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 67', Aguirre G. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 74', Souza Espana C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 75', Noronha O. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
- 76', Figueroa N. 🟨,
- 77', Figueroa N. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
- 77', Vilchez Y. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑,
- 80', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 84', Cardenas P. 🟨,
- 84', Cardenas P. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 84', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gamero Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 90+6', Hohberg A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
26.7% | Draw
29.5% | Cienciano
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.54) |
3.17 ↓
(3.26) |
2.18 ↓
(2.78) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Cienciano (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cienciano will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cienciano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Comerciantes Unidos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cienciano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Guzman W.
(Red Card)
Sen M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Carpio Ferro M. P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Neira C.
(Injury)
Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
Sandoval R.
(Stomach Disorder)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cienciano?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cienciano has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano were as follows:
09.03.2025
Cienciano
-
Comerciantes Unidos
3:2
13.07.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cienciano
1:2
27.01.2024
Cienciano
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
