Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (274/365) | 78% (325/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (274/365) | 78% (325/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/90) | 72% (91/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Da Silva B. 🟨,
- 38', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Barrios P. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Guzman L. (A),
- 63', Aguirre G. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
- 65', Guzman L. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Quagliata N. ⚽, Vidales J. (A),
- 71', Orzan H. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 76', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 76', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 77', Amondarain M. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 82', Quagliata N. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 82', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 85', Neira C. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 85', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 89', Garces C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
51.7% | Draw
25.5% | Cienciano
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
FBC Melgar - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.62 ↓
(3.8) |
4.15 ↑
(3.8) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Cienciano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.
- Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cienciano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D.
(Yellow Cards)
Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Bolado J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 2.1:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cienciano?
FBC Melgar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against FBC Melgar?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cienciano were as follows:
10.05.2025
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
25.08.2024
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
3:1
30.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
2:0
09.09.2023
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.04.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
1:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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