Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.34 | 1.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (295/354) | 72% (188/261) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.34 | 1.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.38 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (295/354) | 72% (188/261) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (22/50) | 49% (34/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (66/91) | 56% (64/114) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (3/7) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.50 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.38 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.62 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Lazo M. (Own goal),
- 20', 1 - 1, Liza P. ⚽, Guzman L. (A),
- 30', Cavero S. 🟨,
- 35', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 40', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Ibanez P. 🟨,
- 60', Rodriguez G. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 63', Cabezudo J. 🟨,
- 70', Guzman L. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 70', Ascues A. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 71', Cavero S. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
- 71', Ramua A. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
- 77', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 2, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
- 85', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 85', Neira C. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 85', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 89', Liza P. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 89', Lazo M. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 90+4', Bernaola G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cienciano 33.7% | Draw 28.9% | FBC Melgar 37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Cienciano - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↓ (3.1) |
3.25 ↓ (3.4) |
2.49 ↑ (2.23) |
7% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cienciano - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
- Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melgar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Ortiz J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against FBC Melgar?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cienciano?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - FBC Melgar were as follows:
25.08.2024
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
3:1
30.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
2:0
09.09.2023
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.04.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
1:0
17.09.2022
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )