Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (295/354) | 72% (188/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (295/354) | 72% (188/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 49% (34/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (66/91) | 56% (64/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Lazo M. (Own goal),
- 20', 1 - 1, Liza P. ⚽, Guzman L. (A),
- 30', Cavero S. 🟨,
- 35', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 40', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Ibanez P. 🟨,
- 60', Rodriguez G. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 63', Cabezudo J. 🟨,
- 70', Guzman L. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 70', Ascues A. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 71', Cavero S. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
- 71', Ramua A. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
- 77', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 2, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
- 85', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 85', Neira C. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 85', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 89', Liza P. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 89', Lazo M. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
- 90+4', Bernaola G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
33.7% | Draw
28.9% | FBC Melgar
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Cienciano - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
2.49 ↑
(2.23) |
7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cienciano - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
- Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melgar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Ortiz D.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Ortiz J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against FBC Melgar?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cienciano?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - FBC Melgar were as follows:
25.08.2024
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
3:1
30.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
2:0
09.09.2023
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.04.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cienciano
1:0
17.09.2022
Cienciano
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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