Cienciano vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cienciano
30.7%
Draw
29.6%
FBC Melgar
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 29.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 29% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Cienciano - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (3.06)
    3.1
    (3.25)
    2.35
    (2.36)
    8.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
    • Cienciano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melgar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    31.01.2026 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 2:0
    02.10.2025 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 2:0
    10.05.2025 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 1:2
    25.08.2024 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 3:1
    30.03.2024 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 2:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    21.02.2026 Cajamarca - FBC Melgar 3:1
    15.02.2026 FBC Melgar - Moquegua 4:0
    31.01.2026 FBC Melgar - Cienciano 2:0
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas
    8CaracasMetropolitanos
    9U. De ChilePalestino
    10CobresalA. Italiano
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios
    12America De CaliBucaramanga
    13IndependienteGuabira
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad
    16OrenseMacara