Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2
Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.11
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
84% (376/447)	68% (154/228)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	1.32
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
15	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
84% (376/447)	68% (154/228)
Long passes
60% (45/75)	38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
72% (83/116)	48% (30/63)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.25
Throw-ins
23	21
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
63% (5/8)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
34	40
Clearances
21	25
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.32	0.64
Goals prevented
0.32	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
56', Santamaria A. 🟨,
66', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Hohberg A. ↑,
66', Perez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
66', Inga C. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
70', Carabali J. 🟨,
71', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
71', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
79', Corzo A. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Valera A. (Pen),
84', Valera A. 🟨,
84', Flores E. 🟨,
86', Da Silva B. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
86', Neira C. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
90', Gonzalez A. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. ⚽, Galeano L. (A),
90+7', Valoyes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cienciano
36.5%

Draw
30.7%

Universitario de Deportes
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.62)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.8 ↑ (2.06)	7.3% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 0.
Cienciano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Deportes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Universitario de Deportes?

Cienciano has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Cienciano?

Universitario de Deportes has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:

15.02.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:2

27.10.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:1

20.05.2024 Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes 0:0

22.06.2023 Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes 1:1

24.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano 3:0

Latest results of Cienciano

19.07.2025 ADT Tarma - Cienciano 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Ayacucho - Cienciano 1:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Cienciano - Sporting Cristal 1:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Cienciano - Alianza Atlético 3:2 ✺

13.06.2025 Cusco - Cienciano 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Universitario de Deportes

18.07.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Comerciantes Unidos 3:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Los Chankas 0:0 ✺

06.07.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes 0:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes 0:2 ✺

20.06.2025 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 5:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	11	8	3	0	20:8	12	27
2	Cusco	11	7	1	3	18:10	8	22
3	AD Tarma	12	6	2	4	15:15	0	20
4	Sporting Cristal	11	5	4	2	20:8	12	19
5	Alianza Lima	11	5	3	3	17:12	5	18
6	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	4	6	1	14:12	2	18
7	FBC Melgar	12	4	5	3	18:13	5	17
8	Sport Huancayo	13	4	3	6	23:22	1	15
9	Cienciano	11	4	3	4	16:15	1	15
10	Comerciantes Unidos	11	4	3	4	13:16	-3	15
11	Los Chankas	10	5	0	5	14:23	-9	15
12	Grau	11	4	2	5	16:15	1	14
13	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
14	Juan Pablo II	10	2	5	3	9:11	-2	11
15	Alianza Atl	10	2	4	4	6:6	0	10
16	Ayacucho	11	3	1	7	8:17	-9	10
17	Alianza Huanuco	11	3	1	7	12:23	-11	10
18	Cajamarca	11	1	3	7	9:16	-7	6
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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