Alacranes de Durango vs Cimarrones de Sonora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, ,
  • 27', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 62', 🟥,
  • 67', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
56.5%
Draw
23.8%
Cimarrones de Sonora
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 25.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 24.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.67)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    4.65
    (4.31)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Alacranes de Durango is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cimarrones de Sonora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Alacranes de Durango will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango 0:0
    25.10.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 2:3
    05.01.2023 Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 0:4
    21.09.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango 5:0
    Latest results of Alacranes de Durango
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2319010366:1467
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2413160442:1949
    3Tigres de Alica2414130641:2349
    4Leones Negros 22414020839:2646
    5Tecos2413040745:3145
    6Tritones Vallarta2311210929:2640
    7Los Cabos24110301037:3637
    8Mineros de Fresnillo249142833:3736
    9Guerreros de Autlan237052936:3829
    10Ensenada FC2480201429:5028
    11UA Zacatecas2470401326:4526
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2351111533:5720
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2350111637:6618
    14Colima FC2330301720:4513


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2418220246:1863
    2Santiago2312061431:2043
    3Halcones2410061740:2641
    4Zacatepec2410180524:1440
    5Matamoros2310050827:1937
    6Lobos ULMX2410060831:2437
    7Club Calor229071529:2335
    8Correcaminos 2248070925:2333
    9Chilpancingo247080929:3929
    10Cordobes FC2461601125:2726
    11Canamy235081932:4026
    12Zitacuaro234190920:2924
    13Ciervos2431421419:4318
    14Atletico Hidalgo2431411522:5516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 2220020049:867
    2Deportiva Venados2212141453:2446
    3Celaya2211131640:2642
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen2310241631:2839
    5Tapachula22110011045:3438
    6Montaneses229220930:2635
    7Pioneros2291111033:3333
    8Chiapas229023832:3132
    9Heroes de Zaci208021926:3727
    10Chapulineros2241601120:3221
    11Canoneros2142111319:4219
    12Neza FC2250201524:6019
    13Dragones Toluca2240301521:4217

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )