Alacranes de Durango vs Cimarrones de Sonora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, ,
  • 27', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 62', 🟥,
  • 67', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Alacranes de Durango
56.5%
Draw
23.8%
Cimarrones de Sonora
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 25.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 24.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.67)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    4.65
    (4.31)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Alacranes de Durango is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cimarrones de Sonora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Alacranes de Durango will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango 0:0
    25.10.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 2:3
    05.01.2023 Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 0:4
    21.09.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango 5:0
    Latest results of Alacranes de Durango
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2016010354:1457
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2111160336:1543
    3Tigres de Alica2113020637:2043
    4Tecos2013020544:2843
    5Leones Negros 22112020734:2140
    6Tritones Vallarta2010200827:2436
    7Mineros de Fresnillo218132728:3332
    8Los Cabos2090101030:3129
    9Guerreros de Autlan207041832:3327
    10Ensenada FC2170201222:3925
    11UA Zacatecas1960301020:3422
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2050111326:4418
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2040101529:5714
    14Colima FC2020201616:429


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2115220240:1754
    2Santiago2010051426:1936
    3Zacatepec219070519:1035
    4Halcones218051735:2534
    5Correcaminos 2218060720:1532
    6Club Calor198061425:2231
    7Lobos ULMX218060725:1930
    8Matamoros208050722:1729
    9Cordobes FC216150923:2225
    10Chilpancingo216070827:3425
    11Zitacuaro214180818:2623
    12Canamy204071826:3421
    13Ciervos2131311316:3816
    14Atletico Hidalgo2031411121:4516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 1917020039:757
    2Celaya2011121538:2341
    3Deportiva Venados199141445:2137
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen209231529:2235
    5Chiapas199023530:2232
    6Montaneses198220726:2031
    7Pioneros198111827:2829
    8Tapachula1980011037:3128
    9Chapulineros194160818:2621
    10Heroes de Zaci186021921:3421
    11Neza FC1950201221:5019
    12Dragones Toluca2030301417:3813
    13Canoneros1822111213:3912

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )