Cimarrones del Chocó vs Toros del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:68
23/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LBP - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7851
Field Goals Made
3225
Field Goals %
41.03%49.02%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4929
2-Point Field Goals Made
2915
2-Point Field Goals %
59.18%51.72%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2922
3-Point Field Goals Made
310
3-Point Field Goals %
10.34%45.45%
Free Throws Attempted
1812
Free Throws Made
128
Free Throws %
66.7%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
231
Defensive Rebounds
2726
Total Rebounds
5027
Assists
1612
Blocks
00
Turnovers
1320
Steals
107
Personal Fouls
1319

Chances of winning


Cimarrones del Chocó
54.4%
Toros del Valle
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cimarrones del Chocó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones del Chocó's performance.
  • Toros del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toros del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones del Chocó than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cimarrones del Chocó that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros del Valle than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toros del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cimarrones del Chocó - Toros del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.04)

    2.09
    (1.65)
    5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 146.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • Cimarrones del Choco leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones won 2.
    • Cimarrones is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toros del Valle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cimarrones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1371:1536. (average 80.6:90.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cimarrones won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 386:380. (average 77.2:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones del Chocó - Toros del Valle were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Cimarrones del Chocó - Toros del Valle 81:79
    20.11.2025 Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó 76:54
    19.11.2025 Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó 75:79
    18.10.2025 Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó 118:85
    17.10.2025 Toros del Valle - Cimarrones del Chocó 76:45
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Paisas (2)Bye
    2Sabios de Manizales (3)Motilones del Norte (7)1 : 2
    3Toros del Valle (1)Bye
    4Caribbean Storm Islands (5)Cimarrones del Choco (6)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paisas (2)Motilones del Norte (7)3 : 0
    2Toros del Valle (1)Cimarrones del Choco (6)1 : 3

    Final
    1Paisas (2)Cimarrones del Choco (6)3 : 0