Result
98:96
14/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Lega A - Round 20
- Referee: Miniati G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Italy | LBA TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 64 | 55 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 53.13% | 54.55% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 64.86% | 59.26% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 37.04% | 50% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 84.6% | 84.4% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
Chances of winning
Varese
48.7% | Basket Brescia
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.Basket Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basket Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Varese - Basket Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.2) |
|
1.84 ↑
(1.62) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for Varese - Basket Brescia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varese: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:84.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 0.
- Varese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brescia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Brescia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1621:1810. (average 81.1:90.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 745:781. (average 82.8:86.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Basket Brescia?
Varese has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basket Brescia won against Varese?
Basket Brescia has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Basket Brescia were as follows:
14.12.2025
Basket Brescia
-
Varese
102:94
25.01.2025
Varese
-
Basket Brescia
77:118
29.09.2024
Basket Brescia
-
Varese
118:94
30.03.2024
Varese
-
Basket Brescia
92:95
26.11.2023
Basket Brescia
-
Varese
116:73
Latest results of Basket Brescia
Italian Lega A Basketball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1631:1490 | 32 |
| 2 | Brescia | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1700:1596 | 30 |
| 3 | Olimpia Milano | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1615:1464 | 28 |
| 4 | Venezia | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1630:1507 | 26 |
| 5 | Tortona | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1653:1635 | 24 |
| 6 | Trieste | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1542:1567 | 20 |
| 7 | Trento | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1621:1596 | 18 |
| 8 | Udine | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1559:1544 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremona | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1552:1607 | 16 |
| 10 | Basket Napoli | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1501:1545 | 14 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1445:1456 | 14 |
| 12 | Varese | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1555:1643 | 14 |
| 13 | Sassari | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1594:1675 | 12 |
| 14 | Cantu | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1605:1707 | 10 |
| 15 | Treviso | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1449:1620 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
