Result
84:69
21/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Lega A - Round 12
- Referee: Nicolini A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | LBA TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 71 | 60 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 46.48% | 45% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 55.88% | 59.38% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 37.84% | 28.57% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 44.4% | 87.5% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 37 | 36 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
Chances of winning
Varese
49.6% | Trieste
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trieste's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trieste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Varese - Trieste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.68) |
|
1.87 ↓
(2.05) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 177.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varese won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1036:1024. (average 86.3:85.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 507:501. (average 84.5:83.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Trieste?
Varese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trieste won against Varese?
Trieste has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Trieste were as follows:
04.05.2025
Varese
-
Trieste
85:80
03.11.2024
Trieste
-
Varese
107:81
16.04.2023
Trieste
-
Varese
80:83
18.12.2022
Varese
-
Trieste
104:99
Latest results of Trieste
Italian Lega A Basketball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1631:1490 | 32 |
| 2 | Brescia | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1700:1596 | 30 |
| 3 | Olimpia Milano | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1615:1464 | 28 |
| 4 | Venezia | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1630:1507 | 26 |
| 5 | Tortona | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1653:1635 | 24 |
| 6 | Trieste | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1542:1567 | 20 |
| 7 | Trento | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1621:1596 | 18 |
| 8 | Udine | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1559:1544 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremona | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1552:1607 | 16 |
| 10 | Basket Napoli | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1501:1545 | 14 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1445:1456 | 14 |
| 12 | Varese | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1555:1643 | 14 |
| 13 | Sassari | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1594:1675 | 12 |
| 14 | Cantu | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1605:1707 | 10 |
| 15 | Treviso | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1449:1620 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
