Varese vs Trieste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Italian Lega A Basketball Varese - Trieste
Result
85:80
04/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Lega A - Round 29
  • Referee: Noce S. (Ita)

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7667
Field Goals Made
3024
Field Goals %
39.5%35.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3428
2-Point Field Goals Made
1811
2-Point Field Goals %
52.9%39.3%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4239
3-Point Field Goals Made
1213
3-Point Field Goals %
28.6%33.3%
Free Throws Attempted
1626
Free Throws Made
1319
Free Throws %
81.3%73.1%
Offensive Rebounds
1317
Defensive Rebounds
3135
Total Rebounds
4452
Assists
1820
Blocks
61
Turnovers
710
Steals
44
Personal Fouls
2517

Highlights

Chances of winning


Varese
39.2%
Trieste
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Varese - Trieste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.37)

    1.56
    (1.56)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 179.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Varese - Trieste?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Varese (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Varese will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:92.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Trieste might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varese won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 951:944. (average 86.5:85.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 422:421. (average 84.4:84.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Trieste were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Trieste - Varese 107:81
    16.04.2023 Trieste - Varese 80:83
    18.12.2022 Varese - Trieste 104:99
    Latest results of Varese
    27.04.2025 Virtus Bologna - Varese 104:67
    19.04.2025 Varese - Dinamo Sassari 89:84
    12.04.2025 Napoli Basket - Varese 87:97
    06.04.2025 Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona 85:87
    30.03.2025 Varese - Scafati 95:82
    Latest results of Trieste
    28.04.2025 Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Trieste 81:101
    19.04.2025 Trieste - Basket Trento 88:94
    13.04.2025 Venezia - Trieste 103:71
    06.04.2025 Trieste - Napoli Basket 109:82
    30.03.2025 Pistoia Basket - Trieste 69:89
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Venezia (8)3 : 2
    2Trento (4)Olimpia Milano (5)1 : 3
    3Trapani (2)Reggiana (7)3 : 0
    4Brescia (3)Trieste (6)3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Olimpia Milano (5)3 : 1
    2Trapani (2)Brescia (3)0 : 3

    Final
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Brescia (3)3 : 0