Result
1:2
07/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (374/454) | 76% (314/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (374/454) | 76% (314/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (73/106) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Alvarez E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Anunga T. ↓, Bucha P. ↑,
- 46', Echenique E. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 56', Padilla Y. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
- 63', Gonzalez B. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 63', Alvarez E. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 65', Chirila S. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Davila A. ⚽, Powell A. (A),
- 68', Hadebe T. 🟨,
- 78', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 78', Hagglund N. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez A. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 83', Smith B. ↓, Evander ↑,
- 90+1', Wilke T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
40.9% | Draw
27.6% | Chivas Guadalajara
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cincinnati - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.01) |
3.57 ↓
(3.75) |
3.34 ↓
(3.41) |
3.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cincinnati is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cincinnati is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cincinnati?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
27.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cincinnati
2:0
21.09.2022
Cincinnati
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
CONCACAF League Cup Table
MainLiga MX | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Puebla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Juarez | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Club America | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | Club Leon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 17 | Atlas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
MLS | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Charlotte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 16 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 17 | CF Montreal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
