Result
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9
Chances of winning
Germinal
68.3% | Draw
22.1% | Círculo Deportivo
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germinal's performance.Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Círculo Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-26.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Germinal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+21.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Círculo Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Germinal - Círculo Deportivo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(2.27) |
4.23 ↑
(3.25) |
9.72 ↑
(2.81) |
6.9%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Germinal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Germinal is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Germinal won against Círculo Deportivo?
Germinal has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Círculo Deportivo won against Germinal?
Círculo Deportivo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Círculo Deportivo were as follows:
01.06.2025
Círculo Deportivo
-
Germinal
0:1
30.03.2025
Germinal
-
Círculo Deportivo
2:5
19.05.2024
Círculo Deportivo
-
Germinal
0:0
23.03.2024
Germinal
-
Círculo Deportivo
3:0
09.09.2023
Germinal
-
Círculo Deportivo
2:0
Latest results of Germinal
Latest results of Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
Winners stageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Bolivar ✔ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Costa Brava | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rincon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Cipolletti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Kimberley ✔ | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Atl. Rafaela ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | San Martin Formosa ✔ | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Chivilcoy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 de Julio Rafaela ✔ | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy ✔ | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Douglas Haig ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ciudad Bolivar is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
Kimberley is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Sportivo Belgrano is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
Atl. Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
San Martin Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
9 de Julio Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Independiente Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Douglas Haig is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
