Círculo Deportivo vs Santamarina de Tandil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
06
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Romero A. 🟨,
  • 29', Labaroni M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Makarte R. ,
  • 74', Makarte R. , Vilchez J. ,
  • 78', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Círculo Deportivo
43.6%
Draw
32.1%
Santamarina de Tandil
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29.4% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Círculo Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.97)
    2.84
    (3.1)
    3.75
    (3.77)
    9.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Círculo Deportivo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 2:0
    19.03.2025 Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil 2:2
    07.07.2024 Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil 1:3
    11.05.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 4:1
    29.10.2023 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    59 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    6Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    7Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    10Argentino MM (2)Bye
    11Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    12Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 1
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)2 : 0
    39 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)2 : 1
    4Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0
    5Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)2 : 0
    6Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)0 : 0
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 1