Círculo Deportivo vs Santamarina de Tandil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
06
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Romero A. 🟨,
  • 29', Labaroni M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Makarte R. ,
  • 74', Makarte R. , Vilchez J. ,
  • 78', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Círculo Deportivo
43.6%
Draw
32.1%
Santamarina de Tandil
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29.4% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Círculo Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.97)
    2.84
    (3.1)
    3.75
    (3.77)
    9.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Círculo Deportivo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 2:0
    19.03.2025 Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil 2:2
    07.07.2024 Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil 1:3
    11.05.2024 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 4:1
    29.10.2023 Santamarina de Tandil - Círculo Deportivo 3:0
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    Winners stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Bolivar ✔ 852111:5617
    2Argentino MM740312:9312
    3Olimpo Bahia Blanca73316:4212
    4Biblioteca Atenas71603:219
    5Costa Brava72327:709
    6Villa Mitre82333:5-29
    7Deportivo Rincon72234:6-28
    8Cipolletti71334:6-26
    9Kimberley ✔ 81255:11-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano ✔ 751114:7716
    2Atl. Rafaela ✔ 75119:5416
    3San Martin Formosa ✔ 842210:7314
    4Chivilcoy73228:6211
    5Sarmiento de La Banda73136:11-510
    6Juventud Antoniana82338:809
    79 de Julio Rafaela ✔ 71425:6-17
    8Independiente Chivilcoy ✔ 81348:11-36
    9Douglas Haig ✔ 70162:9-71

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ciudad Bolivar is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Kimberley is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Sportivo Belgrano is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    Atl. Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    San Martin Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    9 de Julio Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Independiente Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Douglas Haig is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)