Città di Fasano vs Ugento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Città di Fasano - Ugento
Result
0:2
17/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 32

Match Stats

Red Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ancora F. ,
  • 44', Onraita F. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 0 - 2, Sanchez J. ,

Chances of winning


Città di Fasano
53.4%
Draw
25.5%
Ugento
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 24.3% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 23.5% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di Fasano's form might have worsened.
  • Ugento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugento's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Città di Fasano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ugento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Città di Fasano - Ugento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.51)
    3.55
    (3.75)
    4.3
    (5.87)
    10.3%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Città di Fasano - Ugento?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Città di Fasano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
    • Città di Fasano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ugento is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ugento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Ugento have a series of home games.
    • In this match Città di Fasano is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Città di Fasano to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Città di Fasano
    Latest results of Ugento
    13.04.2025 Ugento - Martina Calcio 2:0
    30.03.2025 Ugento - Casarano 2:3
    09.03.2025 Ugento - Gravina 1:0
    23.02.2025 Ugento - Fidelis Andria 3:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1