Virtus Francavilla vs Città di Fasano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano
Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 🟥,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Lagzir S. ,

Chances of winning


Virtus Francavilla
37%
Draw
28.8%
Città di Fasano
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.7% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Francavilla's form might have worsened.
  • Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Città di Fasano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Fasano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (1.92)
    3.15
    (3.35)
    2.66
    (3.35)
    10.2%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Virtus Francavilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Città di Fasano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Virtus Francavilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Città di Fasano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano 1:1
    17.11.2024 Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla 0:1
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Latest results of Città di Fasano
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano862014:5920
    2Martina Calcio852111:4717
    3Paganese851210:6416
    4Heraclea851210:6416
    5Fidelis Andria842213:7614
    6Afragolese841313:14-113
    7Barletta833211:8312
    8SS Nola 1925832314:13111
    9Virtus Francavilla824212:10210
    10Manfredonia831412:14-210
    11Francavilla82336:7-19
    12Gravina823310:12-29
    13Sarnese822410:13-38
    14A.C.D. Nardo82247:11-48
    15Real Normanna81434:6-27
    16Ferrandina82156:11-57
    17Pompei81341:7-66
    18Acerrana80355:15-103

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation