Mariglianese vs Città di SantAgata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata
Result
3:3
12/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Mariglianese
22.6%
Draw
26.8%
Città di SantAgata
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.7% 23.9% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4% 23.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariglianese's performance.
  • Città di SantAgata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Città di SantAgata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariglianese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di SantAgata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (5.47)
    3.37
    (3.84)
    1.79
    (1.54)
    10.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).
    • Recent matches Mariglianese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Città di Sant'Agata is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata were as follows:
    06.11.2022 Città di SantAgata - Mariglianese 4:0
    Latest results of Mariglianese
    05.03.2023 Paternò - Mariglianese 2:0
    26.02.2023 Mariglianese - Locri 0:3
    12.02.2023 Catania - Mariglianese 2:1
    05.02.2023 Mariglianese - Vibonese 2:0
    Latest results of Città di SantAgata
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1