Result
3:3
12/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27
Chances of winning
Mariglianese 22.6% | Draw 26.8% | Città di SantAgata 50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariglianese's performance.Città di SantAgata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Città di SantAgata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariglianese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Città di SantAgata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4 ↓ (5.47) |
3.37 ↓ (3.84) |
1.79 ↑ (1.54) |
10.6% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata?
Users Predictions:
Mariglianese will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).
- Recent matches Mariglianese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Città di Sant'Agata is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Mariglianese won against Città di SantAgata?
Mariglianese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Città di SantAgata won against Mariglianese?
Città di SantAgata has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mariglianese - Città di SantAgata were as follows:
06.11.2022
Città di SantAgata
-
Mariglianese
4:0
Latest results of Mariglianese
Latest results of Città di SantAgata
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Savoia | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Nissa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Gela | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gelbison | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Castrumfavara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Reggina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Enna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Paterno | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | USD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | ACR Messina | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation