Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 32
Chances of winning
Varese
45.8% | Draw
28.3% | Derthona
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Varese - Derthona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.93) |
3.22 ↓
(3.35) |
3.52 ↓
(3.69) |
9.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Derthona?
Varese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona won against Varese?
Derthona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Derthona were as follows:
07.12.2025
Derthona
-
Varese
1:2
02.03.2025
Derthona
-
Varese
1:0
27.10.2024
Varese
-
Derthona
2:0
26.11.2023
Varese
-
Derthona
3:0
Latest results of Derthona
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado ✔ | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 66:22 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Ligorna ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 69 |
| 3 | AS Biellese ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54:32 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Varese FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 53 |
| 6 | Chisola | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35:30 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 45 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Celle Varazze | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Imperia | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Cairese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Club Milano | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 35:45 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | Gozzano ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Asti ✔ | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin ✔ | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 25:73 | -48 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vado is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
AS Biellese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
Gozzano is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Asti is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Lavagnese is Relegated to
NovaRomentin is Relegated to
