Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 38
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 1, Barzotti M. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 1, Bianchi N. ⚽,
- 81', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Gozzano 46.9% | Draw 29.5% | Varese 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gozzano's form might have worsened.Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gozzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Gozzano - Varese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.7) |
3.09 ↓ (3.47) |
3.86 ↓ (4.49) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 0.
- Gozzano is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Città di Varese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Gozzano is the team to beat.
- We predict that Gozzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gozzano won against Varese?
Gozzano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Gozzano?
Varese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gozzano - Varese were as follows:
22.12.2024
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
05.05.2024
Gozzano
-
Varese
1:1
20.12.2023
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
Latest results of Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vado | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Varese FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
3 | Chisola | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Ligorna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
5 | AS Biellese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Sestri Levante | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
7 | Saluzzo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Celle Varazze | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
9 | NovaRomentin | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Lavagnese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Asti | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Derthona FbC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
13 | Valenzana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Gozzano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Sanremese | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
16 | Cairese | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Club Milano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Imperia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation