Result
3:1
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Sarpa C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 1, Barzotti M. (Pen),
- 77', 2 - 1, Pavesi M. (Pen),
- 89', 3 - 1, Lettieri V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gozzano
35.3% | Draw
28.7% | Varese
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Gozzano - Varese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.48) |
3.15 ↑
(3.1) |
2.51 ↓
(2.58) |
10.5%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gozzano won against Varese?
Gozzano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Gozzano?
Varese has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gozzano - Varese were as follows:
04.05.2025
Gozzano
-
Varese
1:1
22.12.2024
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
05.05.2024
Gozzano
-
Varese
1:1
20.12.2023
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
Latest results of Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
