Gozzano vs Città di Varese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group A Gozzano - Città di Varese
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group A - Round 38

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 0 - 1, Barzotti M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Bianchi N. ,
  • 81', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Gozzano
46.9%
Draw
29.5%
Città di Varese
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.3% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 24.7% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gozzano's form might have worsened.
  • Città di Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gozzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Varese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Gozzano - Città di Varese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.7)
    3.09
    (3.47)
    3.86
    (4.49)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 0.
    • Gozzano is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Città di Varese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Gozzano is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Gozzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gozzano - Città di Varese were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Città di Varese - Gozzano 2:1
    05.05.2024 Gozzano - Città di Varese 1:1
    20.12.2023 Città di Varese - Gozzano 2:1
    Latest results of Gozzano
    27.04.2025 Unione Sanremo - Gozzano 0:1
    17.04.2025 Gozzano - Ligorna 2:0
    13.04.2025 Vogherese - Gozzano 1:3
    06.04.2025 Gozzano - Imperia 2:2
    30.03.2025 Cairese - Gozzano 1:2
    Latest results of Città di Varese
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1