Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 1 - 0, Tentoni T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese 23.2% | Draw 27.6% | Vado 49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Varese - Vado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.92 ↑ (3.7) |
3.3 ↓ (3.43) |
1.86 ↑ (1.85) |
9.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2.
- In recent matches, Varese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vado could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Vado?
Varese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vado won against Varese?
Vado has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Vado were as follows:
26.10.2025
Vado
-
Varese
3:1
09.03.2025
Varese
-
Vado
1:0
12.05.2024
Varese
-
Vado
0:1
31.01.2024
Vado
-
Varese
1:0
04.10.2023
Varese
-
Vado
1:0
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Vado | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Chisola | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Imperia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25:39 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 | Cairese | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Asti | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21:52 | -31 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation