Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 1 - 0, Tentoni T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Varese 23.2% | Draw 27.6% | Vado 49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Varese - Vado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.92 ↑ (3.7) |
3.3 ↓ (3.43) |
1.86 ↑ (1.85) |
9.7% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2.
- In recent matches, Varese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vado could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Vado?
Varese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vado won against Varese?
Vado has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Vado were as follows:
26.10.2025
Vado
-
Varese
3:1
09.03.2025
Varese
-
Vado
1:0
12.05.2024
Varese
-
Vado
0:1
31.01.2024
Vado
-
Varese
1:0
04.10.2023
Varese
-
Vado
1:0
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation