Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 53', Rabbi S. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
- 61', Colangiuli V. ↓, De Marino D. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Falcinelli D. ⚽,
- 65', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
- 75', Barberis A. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
- 75', Ghezzi A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
- 78', Mancini S. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
- 80', Stronati R. 🟨,
- 84', Falcinelli D. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 84', Anastasia E. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
- 84', Iori M. ↓, Belvedere F. ↑,
- 84', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Napolitano G. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Perretta G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lumezzane
32.8% | Draw
30.3% | Cittadella
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Lumezzane - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.69) |
3.02 ↓
(3.16) |
2.47 ↓
(2.5) |
9.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Lumezzane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cittadella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cittadella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Cittadella?
Lumezzane has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Lumezzane?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Cittadella were as follows:
25.09.2025
Cittadella
-
Lumezzane
0:1
Latest results of Lumezzane
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 29:17 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 17 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
