Cittadella vs Lumezzane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Cittadella - Lumezzane
Result
0:1
25/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
911
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Pogliano C. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Iori M. ,
  • 38', Paghera F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vita A. , Egharevba D. ,
  • 46', Verna L. , Amatucci F. ,
  • 49', Moscati M. 🟨,
  • 59', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 61', Barberis A. 🟨,
  • 62', Rolando M. , D'Agostino S. ,
  • 62', Iori M. , Donnarumma A. ,
  • 63', Gaddini M. , Salvi A. ,
  • 67', Castelli D. , Diaw D. ,
  • 70', Rolando M. , D'Agostino S. ,
  • 70', Iori M. , Donnarumma A. ,
  • 74', Rizza A. 🟨,
  • 82', Rabbi S. , Bunino C. ,
  • 88', Salvi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cittadella
59.2%
Draw
25.2%
Lumezzane
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 22.2% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 15.3% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Cittadella - Lumezzane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.43)
    3.68
    (4.1)
    5.95
    (6.4)
    7.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Cittadella is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Cittadella
    21.09.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella 2:1
    06.09.2025 Pergolettese - Cittadella 3:1
    29.08.2025 Cittadella - Alcione 1:0
    24.08.2025 Virtus Verona - Cittadella 1:1
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    21.09.2025 Lumezzane - Ospitaletto 2:0
    13.09.2025 Lumezzane - Triestina 1:2
    06.09.2025 Alcione - Lumezzane 1:0
    31.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 2:3
    24.08.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane 5:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza651013:21116
    2Lecco651011:3816
    3Brescia641114:41013
    4Inter U2363219:5411
    5Alcione Milano63217:4311
    6Pergolettese63128:7110
    7Pro Vercelli63036:11-59
    8Renate62228:9-18
    9Virtus Verona622210:828
    10AlbinoLeffe622212:1028
    11Arzignano62138:10-27
    12Trento61326:8-26
    13Lumezzane62046:11-56
    14Ospitaletto61235:8-35
    15Novara60514:5-15
    16Giana Erminio61234:9-55
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi60426:10-44
    18Cittadella61144:8-44
    19Pro Patria60245:13-82
    20Triestina62226:7-1-12

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation