Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ghillani A. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
- 53', Rabbi S. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
- 61', Colangiuli V. ↓, De Marino D. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Falcinelli D. ⚽,
- 65', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
- 75', Barberis A. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
- 75', Ghezzi A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
- 78', Mancini S. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
- 80', Stronati R. 🟨,
- 84', Falcinelli D. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 84', Anastasia E. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
- 84', Iori M. ↓, Belvedere F. ↑,
- 84', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Napolitano G. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Perretta G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lumezzane 32.8% | Draw 30.3% | Cittadella 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Lumezzane - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↑ (2.69) |
3.02 ↓ (3.16) |
2.47 ↓ (2.5) |
9.4% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Lumezzane is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cittadella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cittadella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lumezzane won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Cittadella?
Lumezzane has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Lumezzane?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Cittadella were as follows:
25.09.2025
Cittadella
-
Lumezzane
0:1
Latest results of Lumezzane
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 63:25 | 38 | 85 |
| 2 | Brescia | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 46:24 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lecco | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Trento | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Renate | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 56 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 32:26 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 48 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 47 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 | Giana Erminio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 34:39 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Novara | 36 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 43 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 34:50 | -16 | 37 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 24 |
| 19 | Pro Patria ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
Triestina is Relegated to