Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Desogus J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Udoh K. ⚽,
- 63', Castelli D. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
- 63', Rizza A. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
- 65', Frosali J. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 65', Renelus B. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 68', D'Alessio F. 🟨,
- 69', Ferri D. 🟨,
- 69', Barberis A. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
- 71', Schiro T. 🟨,
- 78', Masi A. 🟨,
- 80', Udoh K. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
- 80', Desogus J. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
- 83', Falcinelli D. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
- 83', Ghezzi A. ↓, Ignatov E. ↑,
- 88', Mora C. ↓, Sassaro A. ↑,
- 90+3', Amatucci F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Travaglini C. 🟨,
- 90+8', Zilio A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pro Patria
21.9% | Draw
28.2% | Cittadella
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cittadella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.66) |
3.27 ↑
(3.21) |
1.85 ↓
(1.98) |
8.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pro Patria - Cittadella?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cittadella (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cittadella will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Pro Patria has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cittadella's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cittadella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cittadella is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Pro Patria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Cittadella?
Pro Patria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Pro Patria?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Cittadella were as follows:
29.09.2025
Cittadella
-
Pro Patria
0:0
Latest results of Pro Patria
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to
