Result
1:3
28/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Almeida J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Molina M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Martin J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Onubense
13.9% | Draw
24.4% | Ciudad de Lucena
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Onubense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Lucena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Lucena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.96 ↑
(4.92) |
3.97 ↑
(3.37) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
3.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In recent matches, Onubense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ciudad de Lucena is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Onubense won against Ciudad de Lucena?
Atlético Onubense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ciudad de Lucena won against Atlético Onubense?
Ciudad de Lucena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
16.11.2025
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Atlético Onubense
2:0
23.02.2025
Atlético Onubense
-
Ciudad de Lucena
1:0
13.10.2024
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Atlético Onubense
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Onubense
Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 67:24 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 68:37 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Cadiz CF B | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 49:36 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Conil | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 52 |
| 7 | Ceuta B | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 49 |
| 8 | Linense | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
| 9 | Chiclana | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cordoba B | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | San Roque | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 43 |
| 12 | Pozoblanco | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | CD Utrera | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 41 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC C | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Tomares UD | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:60 | -32 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 22:59 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
