Result
1:3
28/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Almeida J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Molina M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, Martin J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Onubense
13.9% | Draw
24.4% | Ciudad de Lucena
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Onubense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Lucena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Lucena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.96 ↑
(4.92) |
3.97 ↑
(3.37) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
3.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In recent matches, Onubense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ciudad de Lucena is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Onubense won against Ciudad de Lucena?
Atlético Onubense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ciudad de Lucena won against Atlético Onubense?
Ciudad de Lucena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena were as follows:
16.11.2025
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Atlético Onubense
2:0
23.02.2025
Atlético Onubense
-
Ciudad de Lucena
1:0
13.10.2024
Ciudad de Lucena
-
Atlético Onubense
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Onubense
Latest results of Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 61:21 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 64:34 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Linense | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 42:27 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 49 |
| 5 | Atletico Central | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Cadiz CF B | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Conil | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:40 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | San Roque | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ceuta B | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Pozoblanco | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Chiclana | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Tomares UD | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 | Cordoba B | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | CD Utrera | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Atl. Onubense | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 16 | Sevilla FC C | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | Coria C.F | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 20:51 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
