Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/02/2026 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySuper Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
68
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
63%58%
1st serve points won
80% (37/46)67% (40/60)
2nd serve points won
48% (13/27)56% (24/43)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
33% (20/60)20% (9/46)
2nd return points won
44% (19/43)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
68% (50/73)62% (64/103)
Return Points Won
38% (39/103)32% (23/73)
Total Points Won
51% (89/176)49% (87/176)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
85% (11/13)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)15% (2/13)
Total games won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Clara Tauson
28.2%
Jessica Pegula
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 62.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Clara Tauson's form might have worsened.
  • Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clara Tauson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Clara Tauson - Jessica Pegula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.65)

    1.33
    (1.4)
    4.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Clara Tauson - Jessica Pegula?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tauson is ranked WTA: 15. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.
    • In recent matches, Tauson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pegula is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Clara Tauson
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2