Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 87% (457/525) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 87% (457/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (47/81) | 72% (91/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Zossou A. ⚽, Sangante O. (A),
- 32', Daho A. 🟨,
- 42', Robinet T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Mayela V. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Diedhiou F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Daho A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 69', Bamba K. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
- 74', Mayela V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 74', Sekongo A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
- 81', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 81', Zossou A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 81', Cantero E. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
- 81', Gastien J. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
- 82', Diedhiou F. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
- 83', Sangante O. 🟨,
- 86', Kone E. H. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kone E. H. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Lagae B. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Clermont
33.6% | Draw
29.9% | Dunkerque
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clermont's performance.Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Clermont - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3.33) |
3.14 ↑
(2.96) |
2.56 ↑
(2.29) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Clermont - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).
- Clermont is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dunkerque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Clermont: Astic J.
(Inactive)
Boto K.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
Hunou A.
(Inactive)
Saivet H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Dunkerque?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Clermont?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Dunkerque were as follows:
09.08.2025
Dunkerque
-
Clermont
2:2
21.02.2025
Dunkerque
-
Clermont
3:0
13.09.2024
Clermont
-
Dunkerque
0:1
Latest results of Clermont
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
