Result
0:0
19/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Bolzicco T. 🟨,
- 21', Ardiles F. 🟨,
- 37', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club Almagro
47% | Draw
32% | Alvarado
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Club Almagro - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.86) |
2.9 ↓
(3.25) |
4.48 ↑
(4.4) |
7.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Alvarado?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent form of Almagro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Almagro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Club Almagro won against Alvarado?
Club Almagro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Club Almagro?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Alvarado were as follows:
24.09.2023
Club Almagro
-
Alvarado
1:1
14.05.2023
Alvarado
-
Club Almagro
0:0
28.08.2022
Club Almagro
-
Alvarado
1:0
Latest results of Club Almagro
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
