Club Almagro vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Gonzalez A. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 53', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 57', Arevalos N. , Veliz D. ,
  • 57', Lesman G. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 62', Cucchi P. , Conechny R. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Juarez N. , Federico T. ,
  • 69', Papa G. , Griffa E. ,
  • 71', Lattanzio C. , Luayza M. ,
  • 71', Chaves A. , Puca D. ,
  • 77', Galvan F. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Federico T. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
58.4%
Draw
27.9%
Güemes
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 33.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 33.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Almagro's performance.
  • Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Club Almagro - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.36)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    6.64
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Güemes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Almagro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
    • Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Güemes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Güemes were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:1
    16.10.2023 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:0
    03.06.2023 Club Almagro - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of Güemes
    28.09.2025 Güemes - San Miguel 1:0
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

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