Club Almagro vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Club Almagro - Güemes
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Gonzalez A. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 53', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 57', Arevalos N. , Veliz D. ,
  • 57', Lesman G. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 62', Cucchi P. , Conechny R. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Juarez N. , Federico T. ,
  • 69', Papa G. , Griffa E. ,
  • 71', Lattanzio C. , Luayza M. ,
  • 71', Chaves A. , Puca D. ,
  • 77', Galvan F. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Federico T. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
58.4%
Draw
27.9%
Güemes
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 33.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 33.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Almagro's performance.
  • Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Club Almagro - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.36)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    6.64
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
    • Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Güemes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Güemes were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:1
    16.10.2023 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:0
    03.06.2023 Club Almagro - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of Güemes
    28.09.2025 Güemes - San Miguel 1:0
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0