Club Almagro vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Gonzalez A. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 53', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 57', Arevalos N. , Veliz D. ,
  • 57', Lesman G. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 62', Cucchi P. , Conechny R. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Juarez N. , Federico T. ,
  • 69', Papa G. , Griffa E. ,
  • 71', Lattanzio C. , Luayza M. ,
  • 71', Chaves A. , Puca D. ,
  • 77', Galvan F. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Federico T. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
58.4%
Draw
27.9%
Güemes
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 33.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 33.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Almagro's performance.
  • Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Club Almagro - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.36)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    6.64
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Güemes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Almagro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
    • Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Güemes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Güemes were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:1
    16.10.2023 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:0
    03.06.2023 Club Almagro - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of Güemes
    28.09.2025 Güemes - San Miguel 1:0
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

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