Club Almagro vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Gonzalez A. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 53', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 57', Arevalos N. , Veliz D. ,
  • 57', Lesman G. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 62', Cucchi P. , Conechny R. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Juarez N. , Federico T. ,
  • 69', Papa G. , Griffa E. ,
  • 71', Lattanzio C. , Luayza M. ,
  • 71', Chaves A. , Puca D. ,
  • 77', Galvan F. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Federico T. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
58.4%
Draw
27.9%
Güemes
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 33.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 33.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Almagro's performance.
  • Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Club Almagro - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.36)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    6.64
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Güemes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Almagro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
    • Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Güemes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Güemes were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:1
    16.10.2023 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:0
    03.06.2023 Club Almagro - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of Güemes
    28.09.2025 Güemes - San Miguel 1:0
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

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