Club Almagro vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Gonzalez A. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 53', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 57', Arevalos N. , Veliz D. ,
  • 57', Lesman G. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 62', Cucchi P. , Conechny R. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Juarez N. , Federico T. ,
  • 69', Papa G. , Griffa E. ,
  • 71', Lattanzio C. , Luayza M. ,
  • 71', Chaves A. , Puca D. ,
  • 77', Galvan F. , Chiozza L. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Federico T. ,

Chances of winning


Club Almagro
58.4%
Draw
27.9%
Güemes
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 33.5% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 33.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club Almagro's performance.
  • Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Club Almagro - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.36)
    3.31
    (2.76)
    6.64
    (3.4)
    7.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Club Almagro - Güemes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Almagro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
    • Almagro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Güemes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Almagro is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Club Almagro - Güemes were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:1
    16.10.2023 Güemes - Club Almagro 1:0
    03.06.2023 Club Almagro - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Latest results of Güemes
    28.09.2025 Güemes - San Miguel 1:0
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    31.08.2025 Güemes - Colegiales 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

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